Iraq Telecom, Digital Infrastructure & Technology Sector

Competitive Landscape Analysis — EBRD Market Study Working Paper

Compiled: April 2026 | Sources: Zain Group & Ooredoo Group filings, CMC publications, GSMA, OpenSignal, TowerXchange, public reporting | v1.0

1. Market Overview & Structure

Iraq's mobile telecommunications market is served by three private MNOs operating under 15-year national licences awarded in 2007 at USD 1.25 billion each. Total market revenue reached approximately USD 2.88 billion in 2025, with mobile penetration exceeding 103% and internet penetration at roughly 82%. A government-backed fourth operator—the National Mobile Telecommunications Company (NMTC)—was approved in March 2025 with an exclusive three-year 5G licence, though its launch was judicially suspended in October 2025.

The market is a de facto duopoly: Zain Iraq and Asiacell together command approximately 80% of subscribers and a comparable share of revenue. Korek Telecom, historically strong in the Kurdistan Region, has declined sharply from its 2015 peak of ~35% market share to below 17%, battered by the Agility/Orange arbitration, regulatory sanctions over unpaid fees, and chronic governance failures.

The regulatory environment is governed by the Communications and Media Commission (CMC), Iraq's independent regulator. The Ministry of Communications (MoC) operates two SOEs—the Iraqi Telecommunications and Post Company (ITPC) and the State Company for Internet Services (SCIS)—and controls the Al-Salam General Company through which the NMTC 5G venture is structured.

MetricValue (2025e)Source
Population~47 millionWorld Bank
Total mobile subscribers~48–50 million (incl. multi-SIM)Operator reports
Mobile penetration~103%GSMA / Mordor Intelligence
Internet penetration~82%GSMA
Total MNO market revenue~USD 2.88 bnMordor Intelligence
Dominant technology4G LTE (3G/2G legacy still substantial)OpenSignal
5G statusLicence awarded to NMTC; trials only by MNOsCMC / press
Tower count (est.)~20,000–25,000 nationwideTowerXchange / analyst est.

2. Zain Iraq

COMPANY IRAQ
Ownership & Governance

Zain Iraq is a subsidiary of Zain Group (Kuwait; listed on Boursa Kuwait). Zain Group holds a majority stake; a 25% tranche was listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange (ISX) in compliance with licence terms. Zain Group is publicly traded and reports consolidated financials quarterly, making Zain Iraq the most transparent of the three MNOs. The Group is led by Vice-Chairman & CEO Bader Al-Kharafi.

Zain Iraq operates two key subsidiaries: Next Generation (digital services) and Horizon (enterprise/infrastructure), which have contributed to revenue diversification. The digital-first MVNO brand Oodi was launched in 2021 as a virtual 5G-ready lifestyle brand running on the 4.5G network, built in partnership with Matrixx Software.

Exact Zain Group shareholding percentage in Zain Iraq (reported variously as 72–76%) and ISX free-float composition require confirmation from ISX filings or CMC licence records.
Financial Profile
MetricFY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue (USD)~$910m (est.)~$1.08bn$1.29bn (+20% YoY)
EBITDA (USD)~$380m~$442m$473m (+7% YoY)
EBITDA margin~42%~41%37%
Net profit (USD)~$95m~$130m$150m (+15% YoY)
Subscribers (mn)~18.5~19.720.9 (+6% YoY)
Data % of revenue~35%~38%~40% (est.)

FY 2025 revenue of USD 1.29 billion represented the strongest growth in the Zain Group portfolio. The 20% top-line surge was driven by sustained commercial momentum, deployment of ~1,000 new network sites, and revenue diversification through Oodi, Next Generation, and Horizon subsidiaries. EBITDA margin compression from 41% to 37% reflects the infrastructure investment cycle. Zain Group's consolidated CAPEX rose 40% group-wide to USD 1.5 billion (20% of revenue), though Iraq-specific capex is not separately disclosed.

Q1 2025 showed revenue of USD 286 million (+13% YoY), EBITDA of USD 105 million (37% margin), and net profit of USD 26 million (+73% YoY). Q3 2025 reached USD 342 million revenue (+20% YoY) with 20.4 million subscribers.

Iraq-specific CAPEX not disclosed separately from Zain Group consolidated figures. Blended ARPU for Iraq not publicly reported (group-wide ARPU only). Exact data revenue split (mobile data vs. fixed broadband vs. enterprise) unavailable.
Network Assets & Spectrum

Zain Iraq launched 4G LTE commercially in September 2021 as the first operator in Iraq to do so, branding it as "4.5G+" services. The company operates on 900 MHz (GSM), 2100 MHz (UMTS/3G), and 1800 MHz (LTE) spectrum bands. In September 2024, Zain signed a three-year network modernisation accord with Nokia to upgrade its microwave transport backbone using E-band solutions, deploying approximately 3,000 high-capacity microwave links and reportedly increasing average cell throughput by 35%.

Network coverage extends across all 18 governorates, though the depth of 4G coverage varies significantly between urban centres (Baghdad, Basra, Erbil, Sulaymaniyah) and rural/contested areas. Zain Iraq has been characterised by OpenSignal (Jan 2025) as second-place across most experience metrics, winning both Consistency awards (Excellent Consistent Quality and Core Consistent Quality) but trailing Asiacell on speed, reliability, and coverage.

The Oodi MVNO operates on the same radio access network but targets a younger, digital-native demographic with data-centric bundles.

Exact spectrum holdings (bandwidth per band) not publicly disclosed by CMC. Total site count for Zain Iraq (post TASC tower SLB) requires interview data. 5G trial/pilot spectrum assignments (3.5 GHz, mmWave) not confirmed. Zain Iraq capex allocation between RAN, transport, and IT/BSS layers unknown.
Vendor Strategy & High-Risk Vendor Exposure

Zain Iraq's primary RAN and transport vendor is Nokia, with the September 2024 microwave modernisation deal being the most recent public contract. Nokia's Wavence portfolio is deployed for the backhaul layer. Historically, Zain Iraq has also utilised Huawei and Ericsson equipment across different network layers—a multi-vendor strategy common across Iraqi MNOs.

At the Ooredoo Group level (relevant as a benchmark), Huawei was selected for a group-wide core network upgrade announced at MWC 2024. Zain Group's broader vendor relationships include Nokia, Ericsson, and Huawei across different opcos.

Iraq is not subject to the same high-risk vendor restrictions as EU or Five Eyes markets, and Chinese vendors (Huawei and ZTE) operate freely. The EBRD should note that any assessment of high-risk vendor exposure in Iraq operates in a materially different regulatory context than European markets.

CRITICAL GAP: No public disclosure of vendor composition by network layer (core, RAN, transport) for any Iraqi MNO. Percentage of Huawei vs. Nokia vs. Ericsson equipment in Zain Iraq's network requires operator interview. This gap extends to all three MNOs and is essential for any assessment under EU Toolbox or similar frameworks.
Tower Portfolio & Infrastructure Sharing

In December 2022, Zain Iraq finalised a landmark sale-and-leaseback (SLB) of 4,968 towers (some sources cite ~5,100) to TASC Towers Iraq, a subsidiary of Dubai-based TASC Towers Holding. This was the first major tower transaction in Iraq and one of the first pan-national SLB deals in the MENA region. The deal includes passive infrastructure (towers, shelters, generators, fuel tanks) while Zain retains all active infrastructure (radios, antennas, transmission, software).

TASC committed to a build-to-suit programme of 198 new sites in the first 12 months post-closing, with broader BTS commitments of 300–450 sites. TASC also manages Zain Iraq's supporting facilities including power generators.

Post-SLB, Zain Iraq has continued to deploy ~1,000 new sites in 2025 (per Zain Group FY 2025 reporting), though it is unclear whether these are TASC-built or Zain-owned greenfield sites.

Mobile Money & Adjacent Business Models

Zain Cash (operated by Iraq Wallet, a March Holding subsidiary, licensed by the Central Bank of Iraq) is the flagship mobile money platform. Launched in 2016 using eServGlobal (now Comviva) technology, subsequently migrated to Temenos core banking and payments platform (announced May 2024). Key metrics as of late 2024/early 2025:

  • 1.2 million+ app downloads, 1 million+ active users
  • 10,000 cash-in/cash-out agent locations nationwide
  • 35 million+ transactions processed in 2024
  • Mastercard partnership for physical and virtual cards (Platinum Mastercard)
  • Western Union integration for international remittances
  • Ranked 11th leading fintech in Middle East by Forbes (2025)
  • 2025 roadmap: trading, BNPL (Buy Now Pay Later), instant microlending

Adjacent businesses include Oodi (digital operator/MVNO), carrier billing partnerships with OTT platforms (Shahid VIP, STARZPLAY, Anghami Plus), and enterprise services via subsidiaries Next Generation and Horizon. Zain Group's broader fintech revenue grew 28% YoY group-wide in 2025.

SWOT Assessment
Strengths
  • Market leader by revenue (~USD 1.29bn) with 20.9m subscribers
  • Strong parent company balance sheet and governance (Zain Group listed, MSCI ESG 'BBB')
  • First-mover on tower SLB (TASC) — unlocked capital, reduced opex
  • Diversified revenue: Oodi, Zain Cash, Next Generation, Horizon
  • Nokia partnership delivers modern microwave backbone
  • Network consistency leadership (OpenSignal)
Weaknesses
  • EBITDA margin compression (41% → 37%) during investment cycle
  • Trails Asiacell on speed, coverage, and reliability metrics (OpenSignal)
  • Zain Cash scale modest vs. opportunity (1m active users / 47m population)
  • Outstanding government receivables reported above USD 4m
  • ISX listing compliance obligations add regulatory burden
Opportunities
  • 5G spectrum allocation (3.5 GHz) — existing infrastructure gives upgrade advantage
  • Enterprise digitisation (oil & gas private LTE with Schlumberger)
  • Zain Cash BNPL/microlending could capture unbanked market (~80% no bank account)
  • Fixed wireless access (FWA) to capture fixed broadband demand
  • NMTC delays create window to consolidate 4G lead
Threats
  • NMTC/Vodafone entry with exclusive 3-year 5G licence
  • Import duty volatility on telecom equipment complicates capex planning
  • IQD/USD exchange rate instability affects reported financials
  • Regulatory unpredictability (licence extensions annulled by courts in 2020)
  • Starlink/satellite broadband entry into Iraqi market

3. Asiacell (Ooredoo Iraq)

COMPANY IRAQ
Ownership & Governance

Asiacell Communications PJSC is majority-owned by Ooredoo Group (Qatar; listed on Qatar Exchange). Ooredoo holds approximately 65% of Asiacell, with a 25% tranche listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. The remaining ~10% is held by local shareholders, including founding investors. Headquartered in Sulaymaniyah, Asiacell is the longest-operating GSM provider in Iraq, having launched in 1999 in Kurdistan before securing a national licence in 2007.

Ooredoo Group's consolidated financials provide Asiacell data in Qatari Riyals, occasionally creating reconciliation challenges against IQD-denominated local disclosures. Asiacell's Chairman is Faruk Mustafa Rasool.

In June 2025, Asiacell signed an MoU with China Mobile International (CMI) for B2B and enterprise digital solutions, signalling a deepening commercial relationship with Chinese partners.

Financial Profile
MetricFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024
Revenue (IQD trn)~1.491.659 (+11% YoY)1.872 (+12.8% YoY)
Revenue (QAR mn)3,700~4,4505,164 (+16% YoY)
Revenue (USD mn, est.)~1,015~1,220~1,420
EBITDA (IQD bn)~644728 (+13%)860 (+18.1%)
EBITDA (QAR mn)~1,748~1,9462,374 (+22% YoY)
EBITDA margin~43%~44%~46%
Net profit (IQD bn)~265352 (+33%)394 (+12%)
Subscribers (mn)17.117.7 (+3.5%)19.1 (+8%)

Asiacell's FY 2024 performance showed double-digit growth across all key metrics, with a particularly strong EBITDA margin expansion to 46%. Revenue in Ooredoo Group reporting (QAR 5,164 million) makes Asiacell one of the Group's largest contributors. The 8% subscriber growth to 19.1 million has effectively closed the gap with Zain Iraq's subscriber count, and by some counting methodologies Asiacell may now rival or exceed Zain on active users.

Note: QAR-to-USD conversion uses approximate rate of QAR 3.64/USD. IQD-to-USD conversion uses official rate ~IQD 1,310/USD but actual market rates vary, creating reconciliation discrepancies between parent and subsidiary reporting.

Asiacell FY 2025 financials not yet disclosed as of April 2026. CAPEX for Asiacell not separately disclosed in Ooredoo Group reporting. ARPU not published. Data revenue as % of total not disclosed at opco level.
Network Assets & Spectrum

Asiacell operates 8,201 LTE sites nationwide (per Mordor Intelligence, citing 2024 data), giving it the largest disclosed 4G footprint among Iraqi MNOs. The company advertises "deep-indoor" coverage and has won all nine OpenSignal awards in the January 2025 Iraq report — Download Speed, Upload Speed, Reliability, Consistent Quality, Coverage, Video, Games, 4G Availability, and 4G Coverage Experience.

Asiacell operates on 900 MHz, 1800 MHz, and 2100 MHz bands. It has piloted 5G non-standalone (NSA) services for enterprise clients in Erbil's oil-service corridor, though commercial 5G launch is contingent on spectrum allocation by the CMC.

Vendor partnerships span multiple suppliers. In August 2021, Asiacell signed a five-year deal with Nokia to upgrade its microwave network using the Wavence portfolio (~3,000 links). It has an ongoing partnership with Ericsson for LTE RAN expansion and modernisation (Ericsson Radio System hardware). At the parent level, Ooredoo Group signed a deal with Huawei at MWC 2024 for a group-wide core network upgrade, which is expected to encompass Asiacell's core.

Asiacell has 21,000+ points of sale and outlets across the country.

Exact spectrum bandwidth holdings per band not publicly available. Vendor composition by network layer (% Huawei core vs. Ericsson RAN vs. Nokia transport) is a critical intelligence gap. Total site count (including 2G/3G-only sites beyond the 8,201 LTE) not confirmed.
Mobile Money & Adjacent Services

AsiaHawala, launched December 2015 as Iraq's first mobile money service, powered by Comviva's mobiquity platform. Licensed by the Central Bank of Iraq. Services include P2P transfers, salary/pension/aid receipt, bill payments, e-vouchers, merchant payments, and mobile top-up. AsiaHawala is notably used by humanitarian agencies (UNHCR, WFP) for cash assistance disbursement to refugees and internally displaced populations.

Asiacell launched Shofha ("Watch it"), an OTT video portal for Arabic content. The company has also partnered with Google Cloud (November 2025) to bring Google Workspace, Gemini Enterprise, and Google NotebookLM to Iraqi businesses and educational institutions. A partnership with Evam implements AI-driven real-time customer engagement across channels.

AsiaHawala subscriber count, transaction volumes, and agent network size not publicly reported with the same granularity as Zain Cash. Revenue contribution from VAS/fintech not disclosed.
SWOT Assessment
Strengths
  • Clean sweep of all 9 OpenSignal awards (Jan 2025) — best network quality
  • Largest disclosed 4G footprint (8,201 LTE sites)
  • Strong EBITDA margin (46%) — highest among Iraqi MNOs
  • 19.1m subscribers closing gap with Zain; 8% YoY growth
  • Ooredoo Group backing provides access to capital and group-wide vendor deals
  • First-mover in mobile money (AsiaHawala, 2015)
  • Google Cloud and CMI partnerships position for enterprise
Weaknesses
  • Huawei core network dependency (via Ooredoo Group deal) creates geopolitical exposure
  • Outstanding government receivables reported at IQD 121 trillion
  • Less transparent than Zain on financial granularity (opco-level detail buried in Ooredoo Group reporting)
  • AsiaHawala scale appears to trail Zain Cash despite first-mover advantage
Opportunities
  • 5G NSA enterprise pilots in Erbil already underway — can convert to early commercial if spectrum granted
  • Google Cloud partnership could unlock B2B/education verticals
  • FIG (Fibre in Gulf) submarine cable — Ooredoo consortium member — will enhance international bandwidth
  • Ooredoo data centre carve-out strategy could benefit Iraq operations
  • Continued Korek subscriber attrition flowing to Asiacell
Threats
  • NMTC/Vodafone 5G exclusivity threatens revenue upside from premium services
  • IQD 121tn government receivables create material cash-flow risk
  • Regulatory uncertainty around licence renewal terms
  • Multi-vendor complexity increasing with Nokia+Ericsson+Huawei mix
  • Ooredoo Group tower restructuring (TASC deal) timeline for Iraq still unconfirmed

4. Korek Telecom

COMPANY IRAQ / KRI
Ownership, Governance & Legal Exposure

Korek Telecom Company LLC is a private, unlisted company headquartered in Erbil, Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Founded in 2000 by Sirwan Saber Barzani (also known as Sirwan Saber Mustafa), a nephew of former KRG President Massoud Barzani. Barzani currently holds approximately 75% of Korek following the reversal of Orange/Agility's 44% stake by the CMC in 2014. Remaining shares are held by co-founders including Jawshin Hassan Jawshin Barazany and Jiqsy Hamo Mustafa.

Korek's governance is defined by the catastrophic Agility/Orange arbitration saga:

  • 2011: Iraq Telecom Limited (JV of Orange SA and Agility Public Warehousing Co, Kuwait) acquired a 44% indirect stake in Korek for USD 810 million, with an option to take majority control.
  • 2014: The CMC annulled the partnership, ordering Orange/Agility to return shares to Korek founders. The ICC tribunal later found this was procured through bribes to CMC officials, including London property purchases for regulators.
  • March 2023: ICC International Court of Arbitration awarded USD 1.65 billion in damages to Iraq Telecom, finding Korek and Barzani guilty of fraud and corruption.
  • September 2024: A subsequent ICC award added approximately USD 1.17 billion in damages related to a 2011 loan guarantee dispute, plus USD 3.5 million in costs.
  • Enforcement proceedings are active in DIFC Courts (Dubai), U.S. District Courts, and ECSC (Eastern Caribbean). A worldwide asset freezing order was imposed on Barzani.

The cumulative arbitration exposure exceeds USD 3 billion, dwarfing Korek's estimated annual revenue and creating existential risk for the company.

Financial Profile (Limited Public Data)

Korek is a private company and does not publish audited financials. Available data points:

MetricEstimate / Source
Revenue (2025/2026 est.)~USD 470–475m (RocketReach, unverified)
Subscribers (2022)~8.2 million (BuddeComm)
Market share (2022)~18.9% (down from 34.8% in 2015)
Employee count~2,500 (PitchBook)
Licence fee statusCMC ordered ~USD 800m in unpaid fees (2023)
Arbitration liability>USD 3bn (ICC awards, enforcement pending)
CRITICAL GAP: No audited financial statements available for any period. Revenue, EBITDA, CAPEX, and ARPU are all estimates from third-party databases. This is a major red flag for any EBRD engagement. Interview data from CMC, ISX, or Korek management is essential.
Network & Competitive Position

Korek historically dominated Kurdistan and had a substantial presence in northern Iraq but has lost ground across federal Iraq. The company launched 4G services in 2021 — later than both competitors — and reportedly without a formal 4G licence from the CMC, adding to its regulatory difficulties. OpenSignal's January 2025 report shows Korek winning no awards, though it placed second in Availability and both Consistency categories.

In late 2023, the CMC temporarily blocked Korek's interconnection with other operators over unpaid fees, pushing subscribers to acquire second SIMs from Zain or Asiacell, or switch entirely. This accelerated subscriber losses. Korek differentiates through Kurdish-language content bundles and partnerships with regional OTT providers, but lacks the enterprise strategy of its larger rivals.

Korek has stated a need for approximately 2,500 additional tower sites, suggesting significant coverage deficits relative to Zain and Asiacell.

Korek's vendor composition, total site count, spectrum utilisation, and technology mix are opaque. No public capex figures. Tower portfolio ownership status (no SLB announced) is unconfirmed.
SWOT Assessment
Strengths
  • Strong brand loyalty in Kurdistan Region of Iraq
  • Established agent/distribution network in KRI
  • Kurdish-language content differentiation
Weaknesses
  • Existential legal exposure (>USD 3bn arbitration awards)
  • No audited financials; opaque governance
  • ~USD 800m unpaid regulatory fees
  • Subscriber base collapsed from 11.6m (2015) to ~8.2m (2022)
  • Late 4G launch (2021); no clear 5G pathway
  • Interconnection sanctions damaged brand trust
Opportunities
  • Tower SLB could unlock some capital if governance improves
  • KRI economic autonomy provides partial regulatory shelter
  • Rural/underserved coverage gaps offer organic growth if capex restored
Threats
  • Asset seizure from arbitration enforcement could paralyse operations
  • CMC could revoke or refuse to renew licence
  • Continued subscriber migration to Zain/Asiacell
  • NMTC entry further compresses an already weak position
  • Political-familial governance model deters institutional investment

5. Tower & Wholesale Infrastructure Layer

INFRASTRUCTURE IRAQ
Market Structure & TASC Towers

Iraq's tower market is in early-stage transition from operator-owned to independent towerco models. The country is estimated to have 20,000–25,000 macro tower sites across all three MNOs, though comprehensive audit data does not exist publicly.

TASC Towers Iraq

TASC Towers Holding (Dubai, founded 2017) completed its SLB deal with Zain Iraq for ~5,000 towers in December 2022. TASC currently operates approximately 8,700 towers across Jordan and Iraq combined (per TowerXchange Q4 2024 estimates), making it the first and only independent towerco in Iraq.

In December 2023, Ooredoo Group, Zain Group, and TASC announced the creation of a "New TASC" entity — the largest towerco in the MENA region — combining ~30,000 towers across Qatar, Kuwait, Algeria, Tunisia, Iraq, and Jordan. Ooredoo and Zain will each hold 49.3% of the enlarged entity; TASC founders (Digital Infrastructure Assets LLP) retain 1.4%. The estimated enterprise value is USD 2.2 billion with projected run-rate revenue of ~USD 500 million and EBITDAaL exceeding USD 200 million.

Market closings are phased by country, with Qatar expected first (~mid-2024) followed by other markets through December 2025. The Iraq portion involves merging Ooredoo/Asiacell's towers into the TASC vehicle — creating a single-entity tower market serving all three MNOs. As of April 2026, the exact status of the Ooredoo–Iraq tower transfer to TASC has not been publicly confirmed as closed.

Tower Market Dynamics

ParameterIraq (Est.)MENA Benchmark
Total towers~20,000–25,000
Towerco-owned~5,000 (TASC/Zain SLB)
Tenancy ratio (TASC Iraq)~1.1x (est.)1.3–1.5x (mature MENA)
Korek tower ownershipFully self-owned (no SLB)
Asiacell tower ownershipMostly self-owned (pending TASC merger)
Build-to-suit pipeline198 initial (TASC), 2,500 (Korek need)

Iraq was highlighted by TowerXchange as having "massive consolidation potential" — the low tenancy ratio (~1.1x) compared to mature MENA markets (1.3–1.5x) and the existence of three MNO portfolios, only one of which has been transferred to a towerco, presents significant colocation and decommissioning opportunities.

Energy & ESCO Models

Energy management is one of the most significant operational challenges for tower infrastructure in Iraq. Grid power availability in many areas is estimated at only 8–12 hours per day, requiring diesel generators as primary or backup power. TASC inherited Zain's energy equipment (generators, battery systems, fuel infrastructure) as part of the SLB and manages power provision as a service to tenants.

There is no confirmed ESCO (Energy Service Company) partnership in Iraq to date. In more mature towerco markets, ESCOs manage the transition from diesel to hybrid (solar+battery+diesel) solutions, achieving 30–50% fuel savings. This represents a significant decarbonisation opportunity aligned with EBRD climate objectives.

Tenancy ratios, total tower counts by operator, grid power availability by governorate, and diesel consumption per tower are all estimated. ESCO partnership details, if any, require interview with TASC management. Asiacell tower count and Ooredoo–TASC Iraq merger status require confirmation.
Fibre & Submarine Cable Infrastructure

Iraq's fibre infrastructure is underdeveloped relative to regional peers. The Ministry of Communications reports expanding fibre lines from 1 million to 4.5 million (with 1.5 million active). Fixed broadband penetration remains very low. Key wholesale infrastructure initiatives:

  • Fibre in Gulf (FIG) submarine cable: Ooredoo/Alcatel Submarine Networks project connecting Qatar, Oman, UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Iraq. Capacity of up to 720 Tbps with 24 fibre pairs. This will dramatically increase Iraq's international bandwidth.
  • Zajil Telecom–ITPC route: Kuwait's Zajil partnered with ITPC (April 2024) to create a new telecommunications route connecting GCC nations to Europe via Iraq, leveraging Iraq's geographic position.
  • ITPC domestic backbone: The state-owned Iraqi Telecommunications and Post Company operates domestic fibre routes connecting governorates, though coverage and capacity data are limited.
Domestic fibre route maps, capacity utilisation, and wholesale pricing from ITPC/SCIS not available. Private fibre operators (ISPs in Kurdistan) not catalogued.

6. ToR Extension: SOEs & Significant Market Power

SOE REGULATION
State-Owned Enterprises in Iraqi Telecoms

ITPC — Iraqi Telecommunications and Post Company

Operates domestic fixed-line and wholesale fibre backbone infrastructure. Historically the monopoly provider of landline services. ITPC controls key interconnection and transit points and participates in the Zajil–Europe corridor project. ITPC's role as wholesale backbone provider gives it significant market power in the upstream/wholesale layer, though its commercial agility and service quality are widely regarded as lagging the private sector.

SCIS — State Company for Internet Services

Provides wholesale internet capacity to ISPs and institutional users. Minister of Communications Hayam Al-Yasiri has stated that the ministry expanded fibre lines from 1 million to 4.5 million. SCIS controls a bottleneck on international internet bandwidth, and complaints about service quality and pricing are widespread.

Al-Salam General Company & the NMTC

Al-Salam is a Ministry of Communications entity that received the 5G operating licence. In March 2025, the Cabinet approved the National Mobile Telecommunications Company (NMTC) as a private limited entity with equal one-third ownership by Al-Salam, the State Employees' Pension Fund, and the Trade Bank of Iraq (TBI). Key features:

  • Exclusive 3-year national 5G licence from CMC
  • Vodafone selected as technical/brand partner (MoU signed, no binding contract per ministry statements)
  • Initial coverage targeting Baghdad, Karbala, Najaf, and Hilla (high-traffic religious tourism cities)
  • All revenues directed to government; future public share offering planned
  • Judicially suspended in October 2025 following a challenge to the Supreme Judicial Council
  • Ministry preparing legal response; no new date for 5G licence signing announced

The NMTC represents the most significant structural intervention in Iraq's telecom market since the 2007 licence awards. If it proceeds, it will be the first state-backed MNO competing directly with three private operators, with a privileged spectrum position (exclusive 5G for three years). The existing MNOs — particularly Zain, whose CFO publicly described the competitive playing field as "unfair" even before the NMTC — view this as market-distorting.

Communications Minister Al-Yasiri has framed telecoms as "Iraq's next oil" in terms of revenue potential, explicitly positioning NMTC as a vehicle for retaining telecom profits within the public sector.

Significant Market Power (SMP) Assessment

Under standard SMP analysis frameworks, both Zain Iraq and Asiacell likely meet SMP thresholds in the retail mobile market (each exceeding 35–40% subscriber share). However, the CMC has not, to public knowledge, conducted a formal SMP designation or imposed ex-ante remedies. The introduction of NMTC with exclusive 5G access would create a de facto SMP entity in the 5G layer from day one, absent competitive entry for three years.

CMC has not published a formal SMP analysis, market definition exercise, or competition assessment. ITPC and SCIS wholesale pricing, interconnection terms, and service-level data are not available. NMTC business plan, capex projections, and Vodafone contractual scope require interview access.

7. ToR Extension: Vendor Financing Models

TECHNOLOGY INFRASTRUCTURE
Vendor Financing Landscape

Vendor financing — where equipment suppliers provide credit, deferred payment, or revenue-sharing arrangements to MNOs — is a globally significant dynamic, particularly in markets where operator balance sheets are constrained or where access to conventional project finance is limited. Iraq presents exactly these conditions.

Global Context

The three dominant RAN/core vendors serving Iraq — Huawei, Ericsson, and Nokia — all offer vendor financing, though their terms and state-backing differ materially:

  • Huawei: Backed by significant credit lines from Chinese state banks (China Development Bank, Exim Bank of China). Huawei has historically been able to offer prices approximately 30% below Western competitors, and provide multi-year deferred payment terms that Nokia and Ericsson cannot match commercially. This financing advantage has been a key factor in Huawei's global market share growth from 13% (2010) to ~30% (2022) of mobile base station revenue.
  • Nokia & Ericsson: Rely on commercial export credit agencies (e.g., Finnvera for Nokia, EKN for Ericsson) and commercial bank financing. Terms are generally shorter and more expensive than Huawei's state-backed equivalents. Both vendors have experienced revenue declines in 2024 (Nokia Mobile Networks -21% YoY), partly attributed to aggressive Huawei pricing.

Iraq-Specific Dynamics

In Iraq, vendor financing takes on additional dimensions:

  • Import duty volatility: Duties on telecom equipment fluctuate with fiscal needs, complicating capex planning and making long-term vendor-financed contracts harder to structure.
  • Currency risk: Vendors typically bill in USD or EUR, while MNO revenues are in IQD. The IQD/USD parallel market premium creates a real cost increase on vendor-financed equipment beyond the nominal interest rate.
  • Government receivables: Both Zain (>USD 4m) and Asiacell (IQD 121 trillion) carry significant government receivables, tightening cash flows and potentially increasing reliance on vendor credit to fund capex.
  • NMTC vendor selection: The choice of vendor for the NMTC 5G network will be a pivotal market-shaping decision. If Huawei is selected (consistent with Ooredoo Group's core network deal), it would extend Chinese vendor influence. If a Western vendor is chosen (consistent with Vodafone's typical vendor relationships), it could establish a different technology trajectory for 5G.
CRITICAL GAP: No public data on vendor financing terms for any Iraqi MNO. Whether Zain Iraq's Nokia deal, Asiacell's Ericsson/Nokia contracts, or any equipment procurement involves vendor credit, deferred payment, revenue-share, or lease arrangements is unknown. This requires direct operator and vendor interviews. NMTC vendor selection process and financing structure not disclosed.

8. ToR Extension: Handset Affordability & Device Financing

TECHNOLOGY COMPANY
Handset Market & Affordability Analysis

Market Size & Structure

Iraq's smartphone market generated approximately USD 2.1 billion in revenue in 2024 (Statista), with expected annual growth of ~1.2%. Android devices dominate overwhelmingly, driven by affordable Chinese and Korean brands (Samsung, Xiaomi, Huawei, Oppo, Realme). Apple maintains a premium niche in urban centres. The handset market is served primarily through independent retailers, with operators playing a limited direct-sales role compared to more mature markets.

Affordability Barriers

With GDP per capita of approximately USD 5,500 (IMF 2024), and the cheapest internet-enabled smartphones costing USD 50–80, device affordability remains a binding constraint on mobile internet adoption and data ARPU growth. Key dynamics:

  • In rural governorates, basic voice services still predominate because smartphone affordability and digital literacy lag urban standards.
  • Prepaid bundles remain dominant but are gradually giving way to postpaid plans, particularly among young professionals attracted to handset financing offers.
  • The Iraqi government passed measures in November 2023 to facilitate foreign currency access at the official exchange rate for mobile phone importers, aiming to reduce reliance on unofficial markets and thereby lower retail prices.
  • The 2023 budget law mandated the CMC to contract with a specialised company for a comprehensive mobile device registration (IMEI) platform, intended to combat counterfeit and smuggled handsets.

MNO & Independent Financing Strategies

Formal device financing by Iraqi MNOs is nascent compared to African and South Asian markets where operators like Safaricom (Lipa Mdogo Mdogo) and Vodacom (Easy2Own) have scaled pay-as-you-go smartphone programmes. The key challenges in Iraq include:

  • Cash-dominated economy: Fewer than 20% of Iraqis hold bank accounts, severely limiting credit-scoring capabilities and formal loan infrastructure.
  • Prepaid dominance: ~90%+ of subscribers are prepaid, meaning MNOs lack the billing relationship and payment history data that underpin postpaid device financing.
  • No device-locking ecosystem: Technologies like Trustonic or Datacultr that enable remote device-locking for non-payment (critical for mitigating default risk in prepaid device financing) are not publicly confirmed as deployed by any Iraqi MNO.
  • Fintech integration opportunity: Zain Cash's planned 2025 expansion into BNPL and microlending could provide a foundation for device financing — customers with Zain Cash transaction histories could be credit-scored for handset instalment plans. This would mirror the Safaricom M-PESA → Lipa Mdogo Mdogo pathway.

Independent retailers (e.g., Elryan, local electronics shops) dominate handset sales and may offer informal instalment arrangements, but these are unstructured and do not generate the data needed for systematic credit assessment.

No publicly available data on MNO device financing programmes, default rates, or handset-bundling strategies in Iraq. GSMA device affordability indices for Iraq specifically require GSMA Intelligence access. Zain Cash BNPL launch status and scope as of 2026 requires confirmation.

9. Entity–Relationship Graph Data

GRAPH
Entities & Typed Relationships

The following entity–relationship data is structured for import into graph analysis tools (Neo4j, NetworkX, etc.). Each entity is typed and relationships are directional.

Entities

EntityTypeJurisdiction
Zain Iraqcompany:mnoIraq
Zain Groupcompany:holdingKuwait
Asiacellcompany:mnoIraq
Ooredoo Groupcompany:holdingQatar
Korek Telecomcompany:mnoIraq (KRI)
Sirwan BarzaniindividualIraq (KRI)
TASC Towers Iraqcompany:towercoUAE/Iraq
TASC Towers Holdingcompany:towercoUAE
Digital Infrastructure Assets LLPcompany:investmentUAE
NMTCcompany:soe_mnoIraq
Al-Salam General Cocompany:soeIraq
ITPCcompany:soeIraq
SCIScompany:soeIraq
CMCinstitution:regulatorIraq
Ministry of Communicationsinstitution:governmentIraq
Trade Bank of Iraqcompany:state_bankIraq
State Employees' Pension Fundinstitution:fundIraq
Nokiacompany:vendorFinland
Ericssoncompany:vendorSweden
Huaweicompany:vendorChina
Vodafonecompany:operatorUK
Zain Cash / Iraq Walletcompany:fintechIraq
March Holdingcompany:holdingJordan/Iraq
AsiaHawalacompany:fintechIraq
Agility Public Warehousingcompany:logisticsKuwait
Orange SAcompany:operatorFrance
Iraq Telecom Limitedcompany:jvUAE/Kuwait
Oodicompany:mvnoIraq

Relationships

Zain Group —[owns_majority]→ Zain Iraq
Ooredoo Group —[owns_majority ~65%]→ Asiacell
Sirwan Barzani —[owns ~75%]→ Korek Telecom
March Holding —[owns]→ Zain Cash / Iraq Wallet
Zain Iraq —[operates]→ Oodi
Zain Iraq —[competes_with]→ Asiacell
Zain Iraq —[competes_with]→ Korek Telecom
Asiacell —[competes_with]→ Korek Telecom
TASC Towers Iraq —[leases_towers_to]→ Zain Iraq
Zain Group —[owns 49.3%]→ New TASC (pending)
Ooredoo Group —[owns 49.3%]→ New TASC (pending)
Digital Infrastructure Assets LLP —[owns 1.4%]→ New TASC (pending)
Nokia —[supplies_to]→ Zain Iraq (microwave transport)
Nokia —[supplies_to]→ Asiacell (microwave transport)
Ericsson —[supplies_to]→ Asiacell (LTE RAN)
Huawei —[supplies_to]→ Ooredoo Group (core network upgrade)
Vodafone —[technical_partner_of]→ NMTC
Al-Salam General Co —[owns ⅓]→ NMTC
Trade Bank of Iraq —[owns ⅓]→ NMTC
State Employees' Pension Fund —[owns ⅓]→ NMTC
Ministry of Communications —[controls]→ Al-Salam General Co
Ministry of Communications —[controls]→ ITPC
Ministry of Communications —[controls]→ SCIS
CMC —[regulates]→ Zain Iraq
CMC —[regulates]→ Asiacell
CMC —[regulates]→ Korek Telecom
Iraq Telecom Limited —[arbitration_against]→ Korek Telecom
Agility Public Warehousing —[jv_partner_in]→ Iraq Telecom Limited
Orange SA —[jv_partner_in]→ Iraq Telecom Limited
Asiacell —[operates]→ AsiaHawala
China Mobile International —[mou_with]→ Asiacell

10. Data Gaps & Interview Requirements

Priority Data Gaps for Field Research

The following gaps cannot be filled from public sources and require structured interviews with operators, regulators, vendors, and/or towerco management.

Tier 1 — Critical (blocks key analysis)

GapRequired SourceEBRD Workstream
Vendor composition by network layer (core/RAN/transport) — all 3 MNOsMNO CTOs, vendor country managersHigh-risk vendor assessment
Korek Telecom audited financials (any period)Korek management, CMC, ISXCompetition analysis
CMC spectrum allocation table — exact MHz per operator per bandCMC Spectrum DeptCompetition, 5G readiness
NMTC business plan, vendor selection, capex projectionsMoC, Al-Salam, Vodafone Iraq teamSOE/SMP, market entry
Vendor financing terms (credit, deferred payment, revenue-share) — all 3 MNOsMNO CFOs, vendor finance teamsVendor financing workstream
ITPC/SCIS wholesale pricing, interconnection termsITPC/SCIS, CMCWholesale market, SMP

Tier 2 — Important (enriches analysis)

GapRequired SourceEBRD Workstream
Iraq-specific CAPEX for Zain Iraq and AsiacellMNO CFOs, Zain/Ooredoo IRInvestment analysis
ARPU breakdown (voice/data/VAS) per MNOMNO commercial teamsRevenue modelling
Asiacell total site count (all technologies) & TASC merger statusAsiacell CTO, TASCTower market
Tower tenancy ratios by region (federal Iraq vs. KRI)TASC Iraq managementTower market
ESCO partnerships, diesel consumption, hybrid/solar deploymentTASC, MNO ops teamsEnergy, ESG
Zain Cash & AsiaHawala full KPIs (active wallets, MAU, TPV)Zain Cash, AsiacellFintech, financial inclusion
Device financing programme details (any MNO)MNO commercial, handset OEMsHandset affordability
Korek arbitration enforcement status & operational continuity plansKorek legal, CMCCompetition, market exit risk
KRI-specific regulatory environment (local ISP licensing, WiMAX operators)KRG Telecom authorityRegional competition

Tier 3 — Contextual

GapRequired Source
GSMA Intelligence Iraq dataset (affordability index, usage gap, coverage gap)GSMA Intelligence subscription
CMC annual reports and licence condition documentsCMC publications
OpenSignal detailed network data beyond published reportOpenSignal commercial
Handset IMEI registration platform implementation statusCMC, contracted company
Starlink entry discussions — status and regulatory pathwayMoC, CMC

EBRD Market Study Working Paper — Competitive Landscape v1.0 | April 2026
Compiled from public sources. Contains estimates and analyst assessments that require validation through field research.
Classification: DRAFT — Not for external distribution without EBRD approval.