Enabling Environment Assessment & Investment Case for Forcibly Displaced Person Employment in Iraq
Legal barriers, market failures, and investment opportunities across Federal Iraq and the Kurdistan Region — with entity-tagged linkages to the EBRD TMT Sector Study
Displacement Landscape
Iraq's displacement crisis remains among the most protracted in the MENA region. As of December 2024, over 1 million Iraqis remain internally displaced — approximately 112,845 in camps and 84,492 in critical shelter conditions — concentrated in Ninewa, Duhok, Erbil, Sulaymaniyah, and Kirkuk governorates. More than 4.9 million formerly displaced individuals have returned to areas of origin, though nearly 610,000 of those returnees live in locations with high-severity conditions where damaged housing, unresolved land disputes, and inadequate documentation hamper sustainable reintegration.
Iraq also hosts over 338,000 refugees and asylum-seekers (as of March 2025), approximately 90% of whom are Syrian nationals living primarily in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI). Around 73% reside in urban areas while 27% live across nine refugee camps in the KRI. Following the fall of the Syrian government in late 2024, a UNHCR survey in January 2025 found that only 12% of Syrian refugees in Iraq planned to return within the near term.
Unemployment among refugees remains very high. Most refugees working in Iraq are employed informally in the private sector, leaving them exposed to low wages, poor working conditions, and exclusion from social protection mechanisms including social insurance. For IDPs — who are Iraqi citizens — the barriers are different in character but similarly constraining: perceived affiliation with conflict actors, documentation gaps, and destruction of economic assets in areas of origin create structural barriers to labor market participation even where legal rights notionally exist.
Part I: Enabling Environment Assessment
1. Legal Framework for FDP Employment
The regulatory architecture governing FDP employment in Iraq is bifurcated — Federal Iraq and the Kurdistan Region operate under distinct labor codes and enforcement regimes, creating a fragmented landscape that imposes different costs and constraints depending on geography, displacement status, and nationality.
| Dimension | Federal Iraq | Kurdistan Region (KRI) |
|---|---|---|
| Governing labour law | Labour Law No. 37/2015 | Labour Code No. 71/1987 (pending draft replacement) |
| Foreign worker cap | 50% of total staff | 25% of total staff (Reg. No. 1145) |
| Work permit authority | MoLSA | KRI Ministry of Labour + Residency Directorate |
| Refugee right to work | Requires formal work permit | De facto permitted with residency card (not codified) |
| IDP right to work | Full legal right (citizen) | Full legal right, but cross-governorate security clearance can delay |
| Max contract term (foreign) | 1 year, renewable | 2 years, max 8 cumulative |
| Employer labor-market test | Must prove no Iraqi available | Implicit via quota compliance |
2. Business Registration Barriers for FDP Entrepreneurs
3. Access to Finance Constraints
4. Skills Recognition & Certification
5. Social & Cultural Barriers
Barrier Severity Matrix
| Barrier | Severity | Affects | Reform Tractability | EBRD Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRI 75% local-worker quota | Critical | Refugees | Medium — requires KRI CoM action | — |
| Mobile money / SIM for FDPs | Critical | All FDPs | High — aligns with EBRD TMT agenda | ✓ CMC |
| Banking KYC exclusion | Critical | Refugees | Medium — CBI circular needed | ✓ CBI |
| Uncodified KRI work rights | High | Refugees | Medium — pending Draft Labour Law | — |
| Business registration restrictions | High | All FDPs | Low — requires legislative change | — |
| MFI collateral requirements | High | All FDPs | High — IFC guarantee addressable | — |
| Stigmatization (ISIL perception) | High | IDPs | Low — deep social dynamics | — |
| Credential recognition | Medium | Refugees | High — competency-based alternatives | — |
| Women's labor-market access | Medium | All FDP women | Medium — home-based enterprise models | — |
| Federal 50% foreign-worker cap | Low | Refugees (Fed. Iraq) | Low — less binding than KRI | — |
Part II: Investment Opportunities
Investment Thesis
Across the five target governorates (Erbil, Duhok, Sulaymaniyah, Kirkuk, and Ninewa), the working-age FDP labor supply totals approximately 251,000 individuals — comprising roughly 191,000 refugees and 61,000 IDPs.* This is the operative denominator for investment sizing; national displacement totals (1M+ IDPs, 338K refugees) provide context but overstate the addressable labor pool by including populations outside the target geography and below working age. The IFC opportunity sits at the intersection of two forces: first, existing MSMEs in the KRI and northern Iraq that already employ some FDPs informally and could scale with capital and regularization support; second, new business models that are enabled by the labor supply but constrained by the regulatory barriers documented in Part I.
* Source: Stream 9 labor-supply analysis, scoped to five target governorates, working-age cohort. National-level displacement figures (IOM DTM, UNHCR) are materially larger but include all ages and all governorates.
The PROSPECTS partnership — bringing together IFC, ILO, UNHCR, UNICEF, and the World Bank — provides a programmatic framework. IFC's $52.5M in advisory-service resources and $52.5M in blended finance under the Netherlands partnership, plus the Alafaq Aljadida (New Horizons) facility ($22M in blended concessional finance for MENA), can be deployed across the investee profiles below. The IFC's recent $1 billion investment commitment in Iraq (announced September 2025) signals institutional appetite for scaled engagement.
The following investee profiles represent illustrative opportunities across sectors where FDP labor supply and market demand converge. They are structured per ToR requirements with business description, key figures, investment need, and refugee/IDP impact potential. Collectively, the six profiles project 1,700–4,400 direct FDP jobs — representing 0.7–1.8% absorption of the 251K working-age FDP labor supply in the target governorates. This is a first-tranche (initial stage of phased deployment) pipeline; the profiles are designed to demonstrate commercial viability and catalyze follow-on investment at greater scale.
Investee Profiles
BPO / Impact Sourcing — Establish a multi-language BPO operation in Erbil or Duhok leveraging the Arabic-Kurdish-Turkish-English language capabilities of the FDP workforce. Target: back-office services for regional corporates, data annotation for AI training datasets, and customer service for Iraqi telecom operators (connecting to EBRD TMT portfolio companies).
Key constraint: The KRI 75% quota directly limits the FDP share to 25% under current rules. A sector-specific exemption for "impact sourcing" operations — or structuring the workforce to include a training-pipeline component where FDP trainees rotate into host-community mentorship roles — is essential. SIM and banking access are prerequisites for digital payroll.
IFC Instruments:
Advisory — Business model design Blended Finance — First-loss PROSPECTS Partnership EBRD Co-investment (TMT)BPO operation could serve as anchor tenant for EBRD-financed data center / connectivity infrastructure. Revenue dependency on reliable broadband connects this investee directly to the iQ Networks / GBI dark fibre IRU framework and Zain Iraq / Nokia network upgrade.
Agricultural processing & aggregation — ILO's EIIP (Employment-Intensive Investment Programme) has demonstrated that mixed FDP–host-community agricultural workforces function effectively in Duhok governorate. Scaling existing smallholder aggregation (grains, vegetables, poultry) into a vertically integrated processing and distribution operation — with cold-chain infrastructure — would formalize currently informal FDP agricultural employment and connect rural producers to urban markets in Erbil and Sulaymaniyah.
Key constraint: Land tenure and leasing for agricultural processing facilities; FDP workers classified as seasonal/casual must navigate the 75% quota differently than permanent staff. Iraq's Climate Investment Plan (2025–2030) creates alignment with government priorities on food security and climate-smart agriculture.
IFC Instruments:
Direct Investment — Equity/Quasi-equity Advisory — Cold-chain design Blended Finance — Climate co-benefits MIGA GuaranteeConstruction labor management — Iraq's reconstruction pipeline remains massive: destroyed housing in Ninewa, Kirkuk, and Salah al-Din, plus new infrastructure under government stabilization programs. A managed workforce platform that matches vetted, trained FDP construction workers (skilled and semi-skilled) with reconstruction contractors would formalize the currently informal supply chain while providing employers with compliant labor-management documentation for quota purposes.
Key constraint: Platform model depends on digital identity verification and mobile-money payment rails — both gated by CMC SIM registration and CBI KYC reforms. The 75% quota is most binding here because construction firms are labor-intensive. The IDP component is strong (Iraqi nationals returning to rebuild their own communities), which partially resolves the quota issue since IDPs are citizens.
IFC Instruments:
Advisory — Platform design & training Blended Finance — Working capital facility DFI Co-invest — KfW / JICA alignmentInclusive microfinance — Building on IFC's existing partnership with First Finance Company (FFC), develop a dedicated lending window for FDP micro-entrepreneurs with modified underwriting criteria: cash-flow-based assessment, group-guarantee structures, and integration with ILO/UNIDO entrepreneurship training graduates. Sharia-compliant product design is essential — WFP's SheCan initiative has demonstrated demand for Islamic-finance-aligned microlending in Iraq.
Key constraint: CBI regulatory clarity on MFI lending to non-nationals; collateral substitution requires CBI endorsement. Business registration for FDP borrowers creates a catch-22 — loans to formalize businesses, but business registration needed for loan eligibility.
IFC Instruments:
Direct Investment — Senior debt to FFC Blended Finance — First-loss guarantee Advisory — Product design & MFI capacity Alafaq Aljadida FacilityWomen's economic participation — A structured network supporting displaced women entrepreneurs in food production, textiles, and artisanal goods — with centralized quality control, branding, and market access through e-commerce and institutional procurement (UN agencies, NGOs, hospitality sector). The Mashreq Gender Facility (IFC-WBG collaboration) provides an existing institutional framework for gender-lens investment in Iraq.
Key constraint: Home-based business licensing is not well-defined in Iraqi law; women's mobility restrictions limit access to formal markets and banking. Digital payment infrastructure (again gated by SIM/KYC reform) is critical for enabling direct-to-consumer sales. Female financial inclusion stands at 15% nationally.
IFC Instruments:
Advisory — Mashreq Gender Facility Blended Finance — Grant + returnable capital PROSPECTS PartnershipTelecom infrastructure services — Iraq's telecom sector is undergoing rapid infrastructure expansion (tower rollout, fibre deployment, 5G preparation). A managed-services company providing tower maintenance, fibre installation, and last-mile connectivity deployment could employ trained FDP technicians — a workforce developed through ILO vocational training programs. This directly connects IFC's FDP employment mandate with EBRD's TMT infrastructure investment pipeline.
Key constraint: Credential recognition for technical certifications; security clearance for FDP workers accessing tower sites. Revenue model depends on MNO outsourcing decisions currently in flux as operators move to asset-light models.
IFC Instruments:
EBRD Direct Investment IFC Advisory — Workforce development Blended Finance — Training subsidy MIGA — Political riskIFC Instrument Mapping
| Instrument | Applicable Profiles | Scale | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Investment (Equity) | B, D | $3–10M per deal | For commercially viable enterprises with demonstrated FDP impact |
| Direct Investment (Debt) | D | $5–10M | Senior debt to FFC or comparable MFI for on-lending |
| Blended Finance — First Loss | A, C, D, E | $1–5M per facility | PROSPECTS / Alafaq Aljadida resources; absorbs pioneer risk |
| Advisory Services | All | $200K–2M per engagement | Business model design, regulatory reform, workforce development |
| MIGA Guarantee | B, F | Project-sized | Political risk cover for foreign investors in northern Iraq |
| DFI Co-Investment | A, C, F | Variable | EBRD (TMT), KfW (reconstruction), JICA (infrastructure) |
| Mashreq Gender Facility | E | Grant + returnable | WBG-IFC collaboration for women's economic participation |
Graphify Entity Connections
The following entity-relationship map identifies the structural links between this study and the parallel EBRD TMT Sector Study. The critical insight is that regulatory reform in Iraq's digital infrastructure domain serves dual objectives — commercial market development (EBRD mandate) and displaced-population inclusion (IFC mandate) — through the same institutional channels.
Communications and Media Commission (CMC) → governs SIM Registration Requirements → blocks FDP Mobile Money Access → constrains BPO Hub (Profile A) + Construction Platform (Profile C) + Women's Network (Profile E).
Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) → governs E-Money Licensing + KYC Requirements → blocks FDP Banking Access → constrains Microfinance Vehicle (Profile D) + all investee payroll operations.
KRI Council of Ministers → governs Regulation No. 1145 + Instruction No. 7/2022 → enforces 75% Local Worker Quota → constrains all investee profiles employing refugees.
Shared entities: Zain Iraq (EBRD portfolio / IFC BPO client), iQ Networks (EBRD infrastructure / IFC BPO connectivity), CMC Iraq (both studies' primary regulatory interlocutor for digital access), CBI (EBRD fintech reform / IFC financial inclusion).
Shared reform recommendations: SIM registration reform (accept UNHCR ID); e-money licensing framework; interoperability standards for digital payments; data-center investment enabling BPO employment.
Joint DFI engagement opportunity: Co-design regulatory reform package for CBI and CMC that advances EBRD digital-economy transition objectives and IFC FDP inclusion objectives through a single coordinated policy dialogue.
Entity Index
| Entity | Type | Jurisdiction | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|
| KRI Labour Regulation No. 1145 | Labour quota | KRI | 75% local worker requirement — binding constraint |
| Instruction No. 7 of 2022 | CoM instruction | KRI | Formalizes 25% foreign employment cap |
| Labour Law No. 37 of 2015 | Labour law | Federal | Work permit requirements, 50% cap |
| Labour Code No. 71 of 1987 | Labour law | KRI (current) | Current KRI labour law (pending replacement) |
| KRI Draft Labour Law | Pending legislation | KRI | Nullified by FSC; expected re-ratification |
| Company Law No. 21 of 1997 | Company law | Federal | Foreign ownership restrictions |
| Law of Commerce No. 30 of 1984 | Commercial law | Federal | Individual trader regulation |
| Foreigners Residence Law No. 76/2017 | Immigration | Federal | Residency requirements for work |
| KRI Regulation No. 7 of 2017 | Immigration | KRI | Visas and residency for foreigners |
| Unified ID System (2024) | Identity | Federal | Reduces documentation friction for IDPs |
| SIM Registration Requirements | Telecom regulation | Federal | Blocks FDP mobile money — EBRD TMT link |
| E-Money Licensing Framework | Financial regulation | Federal | Governs mobile money operators — EBRD TMT link |
| Entity | Role | Study Relevance |
|---|---|---|
| KRI Council of Ministers | KRI executive | Issues quota instructions; reform authority |
| KRI Ministry of Labour | Labour regulation | Work permit issuance in KRI |
| Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs (MoLSA) | Labour regulation | Federal work permit authority |
| Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) | Financial regulation | KYC, e-money, financial inclusion |
| Communications and Media Commission (CMC) | Telecom regulation | SIM registration, digital access — EBRD nexus |
| National Investment Commission (NIC) | Investment promotion | Project licensing exemptions |
| Ministry of Migration and Displacement (MOMD) | Displacement policy | Settlement grants, IDP camp management |
| KRI Ministry of Education | Education/credentials | REIP, credential recognition |
| Entity | Sector | Relevance |
|---|---|---|
| First Finance Company (FFC) | Microfinance | IFC partner — MSME lending platform |
| Zain Iraq | Telecom (MNO) | Nokia partnership; potential BPO client / employer |
| Asiacell | Telecom (MNO) | Mobile money pilot candidate |
| iQ Networks | Fibre infrastructure | Dark fibre IRU; BPO connectivity |
| Gulf Bridge International (GBI) | Submarine cable | Iraq connectivity backbone |
| FastIraq | Transit infrastructure | Alternative subsea route via Iraq |
| Constraint | Severity | Linked Investee Profiles |
|---|---|---|
| 75% Local Worker Quota | Critical | All refugee-employing profiles (A, B, C, F) |
| KYC Documentation Barrier | Critical | D, and all payroll operations |
| Mobile Money Access for FDPs | Critical | A, C, E, and digital payment rails |
| SIM Card Registration (Identity) | Critical | A, C, E, F — EBRD TMT link |
| Collateral Requirements (MFI) | High | D |
| CBI Regulatory Clarity on MFI-to-FDP | High | D |
| Digital Identity Gap | High | All profiles — EBRD TMT link |
| Instrument | Source | Applicable Profiles |
|---|---|---|
| PROSPECTS Blended Finance | Netherlands / IFC ($52.5M) | A, C, D, E |
| Alafaq Aljadida (New Horizons) | Netherlands / IFC ($22M) | D |
| IFC Direct Investment | IFC own-account | B, D |
| IFC Advisory Services | PROSPECTS + other | All |
| MIGA Political Risk Guarantee | MIGA | B, F |
| Mashreq Gender Facility | WBG-IFC | E |
| DFI Co-Investment (EBRD/KfW/JICA) | Partner DFIs | A, C, F |
Methodology & Sources
This assessment synthesizes publicly available regulatory texts, development institution reports, and legal analyses. Primary sources include NRC's employment rights guides for KRI and Federal Iraq (2023), UNHCR Iraq operational data (2024–2025), IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix data (through December 2024), IFC PROSPECTS partnership documentation, EBRD TMT Sector Strategy 2025–2029, Paul Hastings and Lexology legal analyses of KRI Labour Regulation No. 1145, Al Tamimi & Company analysis of federal work-permit requirements, and WFP SheCan Iraq program documentation. Displacement figures are drawn from IOM DTM, UNHCR, and NRC fact sheets current to early 2025. Financial-inclusion data references the World Bank Global Findex Database (2021) and GIZ's financial inclusion programming in Iraq.
Investee profiles are illustrative composites based on sector analysis, IFC precedent in comparable markets (particularly Jordan's refugee-employment programs), and the existing PROSPECTS partnership pipeline. They are not representations of specific companies unless named (FFC, Zain Iraq, etc.). All investment-need figures are indicative ranges requiring validation through IFC's standard due diligence process.
Document version 1.1 — April 2026. Prepared for IFC Advisory discussion purposes. Not for external distribution. Entity tags formatted for Graphify ingestion. EBRD TMT cross-references are analytical linkages and do not represent formal coordination commitments. Labor-supply denominator (251K working-age FDPs in five target governorates) sourced from Stream 9 analysis; v1.0 erroneously used national-aggregate figure of 1.3M.